Three Star Report

Vols Football

Tennessee last won a football national championship in 1998. The fans have already done their part and the figures are checkable, 27 consecutive Neyland sellouts and an interest list 29,414 names long. What gets measured on this page is the other side of that.

92
places between Tennessee's average early opponent and its week 4 opponent
Sep 3

Tennessee plays nobody for three weeks. Then Texas.

Tennessee's first three opponents average 98th in SP+. Its fourth is Texas, 6th. That 92 place step is the second steepest in the SEC.

14th of 16
Tennessee's SEC schedule rank by mean opponent strength
Aug 23

Tennessee's schedule is easy on average and brutal at the top.

Tennessee draws the 14th toughest schedule of 16 SEC teams by average opponent SP+. Four of those opponents project in the national top 13.

44th
Tennessee's defense rank beside a 4th ranked offense
Aug 21

Tennessee has a top 5 offense. Every other team with one has a top 10 defense.

Five teams project a top 5 SP+ offense for 2026. Four of them pair it with a defense ranked 9th or better. Tennessee's defense projects 44th.

40
RANKS BETWEEN TENNESSEE'S OFFENSE AND ITS DEFENSE
Aug 18

Tennessee SP+ 2026: The Widest Offense-Defense Gap in the Top 25

SP+ has Tennessee 14th. The number is two very different teams averaged together.